ELLIS against Covid-19

COVID-19 machine learning projects at Max Planck Institute

ellis 15 April 2020 - 15 April 2020
15 April 2020 • 14:40 - 14:55

(Max Planck Institute for Intelligent Systems)


Questions & Answers

Link to the recording of the live Questions & Discussion session for this talk. 

  • Q: Why is the case rate in Italy so much higher for older people? The average age of patients in Italy is much higher than the China one, surely the difference is much lower in the whole population.

    • A: Julius: Actually, also in the general population there is quite a difference in the proportion of older people between Italy and China. For example, the proportion of 70-79 year olds in the general population is twice as high in Italy as in China in the general population, while the proportion of confirmed cases within the same age group is ~2.4 times higher in Italy than in China. For 80+ the proportion is 4 times higher in Italy in the general population vs. ~5.75 times higher in Italy for the share of cases. The difference between general population and share of cases is thus not as drastic as you may have expected: the Italian population is indeed significantly older than the Chinese one. As to the remaining difference, I can only speculate: I've heard rumours that inter-generational mixing (grandparents, parents and children living in the same household) may play a role in explaining the high share of old patients in Italy, but I am not qualified to evaluate this claim.


Thumb ticker bernhard sch%c3%b6lkopf  germany
(Max Planck Institute for Intelligent Systems)
Thumb ticker manuel gomez rodriguez
(Max Planck Institute for Software Systems)
Thumb ticker julius von k%c3%bcgelgen  phd student
(MPI for Intelligent Systems, Tübingen & University of Cambridge)